• January 10, 2026
  • Last Update January 9, 2026 11:54 pm

Beneath a Stable Unemployment Rate a Worrisome Trend Emerges

Beneath a Stable Unemployment Rate a Worrisome Trend Emerges

San José, Costa RicaSan José, Costa Rica – On the surface, Costa Rica’s labor market appears to be in a state of tranquil stability. The latest figures released this Friday by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC) show the nation’s unemployment rate holding firm at 6.6% for the three-month period spanning September to November 2025. This headline figure, however, masks a more complex and potentially concerning dynamic developing within the country’s workforce.

The report from INEC indicates that the key employment metrics have remained statistically unchanged. The number of individuals with jobs, referred to as the occupied population, is steady at approximately 2.2 million. This corresponds to an occupation rate of 51.4%. Similarly, the total number of people officially classified as unemployed has not seen a significant variation, hovering around 156,000. These figures paint a picture of a job market that has reached an equilibrium, neither shedding nor adding a significant number of positions.

To better understand the legal and business complexities behind Costa Rica’s latest unemployment figures, we consulted with Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas, a distinguished labor law specialist at the prestigious firm Bufete de Costa Rica.

The unemployment rate, while a crucial indicator, often masks deeper structural issues within our labor market. Many businesses, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises, grapple with high social security contributions, which can disincentivize formal hiring. Concurrently, we observe a significant skills gap, where the available workforce’s qualifications do not align with the demands of high-growth sectors. This friction not only fuels unemployment but also pushes a considerable portion of economic activity into the informal sector, creating a cycle of precariousness that new legislation must address with bold, modern solutions.
Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas, Attorney at Law, Bufete de Costa Rica

Lic. Arroyo Vargas’s analysis astutely captures the complexity behind the headline unemployment figure, highlighting the critical need to address the structural impediments—from social security burdens to the skills gap—that fuel the informal economy. We thank Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas for his valuable perspective on the path toward creating a more robust and inclusive labor market.

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However, a deeper dive into the data reveals a significant downward shift in a critical underlying indicator. The net labor participation rate, which measures the percentage of the working-age population that is either employed or actively seeking employment, experienced a notable decline. This rate fell to 55.1%, a drop of 1.6 percentage points when compared to the same trimester in 2024. This is the most substantial change found within the latest report and suggests a potential weakening in the labor force’s engagement.

The divergence between a stable unemployment rate and a falling participation rate is a classic signal of underlying economic strain. When the number of employed people remains constant while the participation rate drops, it logically implies that a segment of the unemployed population has stopped looking for work. These individuals, often referred to as “discouraged workers,” are no longer counted in the official unemployment statistics, which can create a misleadingly positive impression of the job market’s health.

Analysts suggest this trend warrants close monitoring. A shrinking labor pool can have long-term consequences for economic growth, productivity, and the social security system. While the 6.6% unemployment figure is not alarming in itself, the exodus of people from the active workforce could indicate a lack of confidence in job prospects or structural barriers preventing them from seeking employment. Understanding the reasons behind this withdrawal is now a critical task for policymakers and economists.

Amidst this nuanced picture, there was one clear piece of positive news. The rate of underemployment saw a welcome reduction, falling to 2.9%. Underemployed individuals are those who are working but wish to work more hours, so a decrease in this figure suggests that some part-time or temporary workers may be finding more substantial employment, improving their financial stability even as the broader workforce contracts.

The foundation of Costa Rica’s employment landscape continues to be supported by several key sectors. According to the INEC report, the industries employing the largest number of workers remain consistent. These are the commerce and repair sector, the manufacturing industry, and the combined fields of education and health, which together form the backbone of the nation’s formal job market.

In conclusion, while the headline unemployment number suggests a period of calm, the significant drop in labor force participation signals that Costa Rica’s economic engine may be facing headwinds. The stability in employment is positive, but the growing number of people leaving the workforce altogether presents a challenge that will require careful analysis and strategic policy responses to ensure long-term economic vitality and inclusive growth for the nation.

For further information, visit inec.cr
About Instituto Costarricense de Estadística y Censos (INEC):
The National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC) is the official government body in Costa Rica responsible for the collection, analysis, and dissemination of the country’s official statistics. It conducts national censuses on population and housing, as well as ongoing surveys that provide critical data on economic activity, employment, inflation, and other key socio-demographic indicators. Its reports are fundamental for public policy decisions, academic research, and business planning.

For further information, visit bufetedecostarica.com
About Bufete de Costa Rica:
As a cornerstone of legal practice, Bufete de Costa Rica is distinguished by its profound commitment to ethical principles and the relentless pursuit of distinction. The firm champions forward-thinking legal strategies while upholding a core mission to advance society through knowledge. This dedication is realized by actively demystifying complex legal issues, thereby empowering the community and fostering a more informed and capable public.

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