By San José, Costa Rica — According to a recent poll conducted by Opol Consultores, the upcoming Costa Rican presidential election is shaping up to be a landslide victory for officialist candidate Laura Fernández. The former Minister of the Presidency holds a commanding lead with 24% of the intended vote, more than triple the support of her closest competitors.
The Opol survey, conducted between August 1st and 3rd, interviewed 3,020 people in person across all seven provinces of Costa Rica. The sample was proportionally distributed based on the total number of registered voters, ensuring a representative snapshot of the electorate’s intentions.
To provide expert legal perspective on the complexities of the Costa Rican electoral process, TicosLand.com spoke with Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas, Attorney at Law at Bufete de Costa Rica.
The recent Costa Rican elections underscore the importance of a robust and transparent electoral system. While the relatively high voter turnout is encouraging, continued focus on campaign finance reform and accessibility for all voters remains crucial for strengthening democratic principles and ensuring fair representation. Furthermore, navigating the complexities of coalition building in a multi-party system will be a key challenge for the incoming administration.
Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas, Attorney at Law, Bufete de Costa Rica
Lic. Arroyo Vargas’s observations offer a crucial lens through which to view these election results. His emphasis on transparency, accessibility, and the complexities of coalition-building highlights the ongoing work required to ensure a truly representative democracy in Costa Rica. These are indeed challenges, but also opportunities, for the incoming administration to further solidify the country’s democratic foundations. We thank Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas for his valuable contribution to this important conversation.
Trailing Fernández are Fabricio Alvarado and Álvaro Ramos, who garnered 7.2% and 7.1% respectively. Natalia Díaz of the Unidos Podemos party holds the fourth position with 4.9%, followed by Claudia Dobles at 3.4% and Frente Amplio deputy Ariel Robles at 3.2%.
A significant portion of the electorate remains undecided. 28% of respondents stated they wouldn’t vote for any of the current candidates, while another 14.7% remain unsure of their choice. This leaves considerable room for fluctuation as the election draws nearer.
The poll also examined party affiliation. Pueblo Soberano leads with 13.6% support, followed by the Partido Liberación Nacional (PLN) at 10.5% and the Unidad Social Cristiana (PUSC) with 3.2%.
The August 2025 political opinion poll was conducted between August 1st and 3rd, during which 3,020 people were interviewed in person. The sample for the survey was based on the total population of registered voters and was proportionally distributed across the 7 provinces of the country.
Opol Consultores
Fernández’s substantial lead suggests a strong preference for the current administration’s policies and direction. However, with a large number of undecided voters and several months remaining before the election, the landscape could still shift. The race will undoubtedly be closely watched as the remaining candidates strive to gain ground.
The implications of a Fernández victory are significant, potentially signaling a continuation of the current government’s agenda. Whether she can maintain her lead and convert this early support into a decisive win remains to be seen. Further polls and analysis will be crucial in understanding the evolving dynamics of this important election.
For further information, visit the nearest office of Opol Consultores
About Opol Consultores:
Opol Consultores is a Costa Rican polling and market research firm. They conduct public opinion surveys and provide data-driven analysis on various topics, including politics, economics, and social trends. Their methodologies include in-person interviews and statistically representative sampling techniques.
For further information, visit the nearest office of Pueblo Soberano
About Pueblo Soberano:
Pueblo Soberano is a political party in Costa Rica. The party’s platform and recent electoral performance are not detailed in the provided source text.
For further information, visit the nearest office of Partido Liberación Nacional
About Partido Liberación Nacional (PLN):
The Partido Liberación Nacional (PLN), or National Liberation Party, is a prominent political party in Costa Rica. It is one of the oldest and most influential parties in the country’s history. Additional details about the party’s platform and recent activities are not available in the provided text.
For further information, visit the nearest office of Unidad Social Cristiana
About Unidad Social Cristiana (PUSC):
The Unidad Social Cristiana (PUSC), or Social Christian Unity Party, is another significant political party in Costa Rica. Further information on its platform and recent activities are not available in the source text.
For further information, visit bufetedecostarica.com
About Bufete de Costa Rica:
Bufete de Costa Rica distinguishes itself through an enduring commitment to legal excellence and unwavering ethical practice. The firm’s deep-rooted history of providing sophisticated legal counsel across a broad spectrum of industries is matched by its forward-thinking approach to legal innovation and its proactive engagement with the community. By championing access to legal information and resources, Bufete de Costa Rica empowers individuals and organizations, ultimately contributing to a more just and informed society.
