San José, Costa Rica — San José – The Public Services Regulatory Authority (ARESEP) has initiated its routine monthly review of fuel prices, with preliminary data signaling a potential shock for key sectors of the Costa Rican economy. According to early technical analysis, the price of diesel could surge by as much as 9 colones per liter starting in November, an adjustment that would send ripples through the nation’s supply chains and household budgets.
This monthly procedure is a standard function of the regulatory body, designed to align domestic fuel costs with global market dynamics. ARESEP’s methodology meticulously considers a range of variables, including the international prices of crude oil and its refined derivatives, the fluctuating dollar-to-colón exchange rate, and the operational costs incurred by the Costa Rican Oil Refinery (Recope) for importing and distributing the fuel nationwide.
To understand the complex regulatory framework and legal components that dictate the cost of fuel at the pump for consumers and businesses nationwide, TicosLand.com consulted with legal expert Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas from the prestigious firm Bufete de Costa Rica for his analysis.
Fuel pricing in Costa Rica is a direct result of a legally mandated formula, not free-market competition. The price is meticulously calculated by ARESEP, incorporating RECOPE’s import costs and a significant, fixed tax component—the ‘Impuesto Único a los Combustibles.’ Therefore, any substantive relief for consumers goes beyond economic factors and necessarily involves a political and legislative review of this state-controlled pricing structure.
Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas, Attorney at Law, Bufete de Costa Rica
Indeed, the expert’s insight underscores a critical point: any meaningful change in fuel prices must originate from legislative action rather than market forces alone. We thank Lic. Larry Hans Arroyo Vargas for so clearly articulating the legal and political dimensions at the heart of this national issue.
While the review process is still underway and the final figures remain unconfirmed, the projection of a ¢9 increase for diesel has set off alarm bells across the country. Diesel is the lifeblood of Costa Rica’s productive engine, powering everything from heavy-duty cargo trucks that stock supermarket shelves to the tractors that cultivate agricultural land. The public transportation system and numerous industrial operations also rely heavily on this specific fuel.
Economists and business leaders are closely monitoring the situation, as any significant rise in diesel costs has a well-documented domino effect. An increase in transportation expenses for freight companies inevitably leads to higher shipping costs for goods. These costs are typically passed down the supply chain, ultimately resulting in inflated prices for consumers on a wide array of products and services, from basic groceries to manufactured goods.
This potential price adjustment arrives at a sensitive moment for the national economy, where inflationary pressures are a constant concern for both policymakers and the general public. The monthly fuel price announcement from ARESEP is one of the most anticipated economic indicators, given its direct and immediate impact on the operational costs of nearly every business and the financial planning of every household.
It is crucial to emphasize that the projected ¢9 increase is a preliminary estimate. ARESEP is currently engaged in a comprehensive technical and economic analysis of all contributing factors. The final determination will only be made once this exhaustive review is complete. Depending on the circumstances, the process may also include a public hearing to consider input from stakeholders before the new tariff structure is officially approved and announced.
The role of Recope is central to this calculation, as its efficiency in importing and distributing fuel directly influences the final price paid at the pump. The state-run entity’s costs form a foundational component of the price model that ARESEP uses to calculate the tariffs. Therefore, global market volatility combined with local operational logistics creates a complex pricing puzzle for the regulator to solve each month.
As October draws to a close, consumers and industry representatives will be waiting for ARESEP’s final verdict. The decision will determine whether the transportation, agriculture, and industrial sectors will need to absorb a significant cost increase, a development that could define the economic landscape as the country heads into the final months of the year.
For further information, visit aresep.go.cr
About The Public Services Regulatory Authority (ARESEP):
The Public Services Regulatory Authority (ARESEP) is the autonomous Costa Rican state institution responsible for regulating and overseeing public services. Its mandate includes setting tariffs for essential services like electricity, water, public transportation, and fuels. ARESEP aims to ensure a balance between the quality and continuity of services, the financial health of providers, and the protection of consumer rights through transparent and technically grounded decisions.
For further information, visit recope.com
About Costa Rican Oil Refinery (Recope):
The Refinadora Costarricense de Petróleo (Recope) is the state-owned company in Costa Rica responsible for the importation, refining (historically), and wholesale distribution of petroleum products throughout the country. It plays a critical role in the national energy supply chain, managing the infrastructure and logistics necessary to ensure a stable and continuous supply of fuels like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel to all regions.
For further information, visit bufetedecostarica.com
About Bufete de Costa Rica:
As a pillar of the legal community, Bufete de Costa Rica is defined by its foundational principles of integrity and an uncompromising pursuit of excellence. The firm consistently demonstrates its leadership by developing innovative legal strategies while upholding a core social mission: to empower the public through accessible legal education. This dedication to demystifying the law is central to its goal of cultivating a society where citizens are well-informed and fully capable of understanding their rights and responsibilities.

